Electrical Equipment: Twelve Five UHV Construction 500 Billion Imagination

Starting from the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, investment in the electrical equipment industry will show a trend of “polarization” in the next five years: UHV backbone network and distribution network transformation will become the theme of grid investment, and “intelligent” will boost the proportion of secondary equipment. At the same time, inverters in the industrial sector will be further popularized, and they are optimistic about low voltage and high performance high voltage markets.

In terms of UHV, DC construction is basically in line with the schedule, and the impact of delayed acceptance of the demonstration line on the demonstration line has been postponed. Currently, there is a trend of acceleration. "Twelfth Five-Year" UHV DC will build 9 lines, and the total investment is expected to reach 217 billion yuan; UHV exchanges will complete the construction of "three horizontal, three vertical and one ring network", and optimistically estimate that the investment will reach 298.9 billion yuan, if the consideration is delayed The impact is forecast to be about 209.2 billion yuan.

UHV DC converter station is expected to invest 101.4 billion yuan, of which converter transformer, converter valve and DC protection system accounted for 65%; UHV AC substation investment 122.5 billion yuan, mainly transformers, reactors and GIS switches, accounting for the proportion It is 18%, 16% and 24%.

Investment logic: "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" grid investment presents the characteristics of "increasing the total volume and adjusting the structure". The growth of the traditional primary equipment will slow down and the UHV concept will become the strongest in the industry. Due to the large initial investment and high technical requirements, UHV is a feast for subdividing industry leaders. Due to the expected slowdown of exchange investment and the relatively large proportion of the traditional businesses of listed companies, the target of the selection is to follow the “leading + growth + valuation advantage” criteria, and at the same time be optimistic about the promotion of mature technologies.

We believe that in the context of the unclear general economic situation, the investment recovery of the electrical equipment industry in the early years of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” is a definite event, and the characteristics of anti-cyclicality will give the industry an overall opportunity. The "Ultra High Voltage" construction plan is based on a 10-year plan. It is recommended to grasp the trend, pay attention to the actual beneficiary company and hold it in the medium and long term.

In terms of the company, TBEA (20.07, 0.04, 0.20%) and China Xidian (7.70, 0.03, 0.39%) have outstanding overall strength. The UHV DC and AC power station equipment shares take the lead. The leading advantages help the company to achieve the most after the start of construction. First, the biggest benefit; Rongxin shares (46.51, -0.89, -1.88%) reactive power compensation products are expected to show an explosive growth with the power grid construction, the stability of the main business to provide a solid guarantee for high valuation; Pinggao Electric (15.87, - 0.43, -2.64%) The performance is flexible, and the low short-term performance can not hide the GIS industry leader.

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Gigabit Ethernet also uses IEEE 802.1QVLAN support, Layer 4 filtering, and Gigabit Layer 3 switching. Gigabit Ethernet was originally designed as an exchange technology, using fiber as an uplink for building connections. Later, in the server connection and the backbone network, Gigabit Ethernet is widely used, due to IEEE802.3ab standard (using Category 5 and above unshielded twisted pair Gigabit Ethernet standard) introduced, Gigabit Ethernet can Applicable to any small medium and large enterprises and institutions.
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